Tko Group Holdings Stock Performance

TKO Stock   202.58  1.48  0.74%   
TKO Group has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.21, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TKO Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TKO Group is likely to outperform the market. TKO Group Holdings currently has a risk of 1.84%. Please validate TKO Group value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if TKO Group will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TKO Group Holdings are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating forward-looking signals, TKO Group may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.74
Five Day Return
0.39
Year To Date Return
(2.11)
Ten Year Return
K
All Time Return
702.3
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0155
Payout Ratio
0.8812
Forward Dividend Rate
3.12
Dividend Date
2025-12-30
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Disposition of 1700 shares by Khan Nick of TKO Group at 189.25 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/03/2025
2
Quadrature Capital Ltd Acquires New Position in TKO Group Holdings, Inc. TKO
12/02/2025
3
Disposition of 254 shares by Shane Kapral of TKO Group at 214.08 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
4
Texas Permanent School Fund Corp Cuts Stock Position in TKO Group Holdings, Inc. TKO
12/26/2025
 
TKO Group dividend paid on 30th of December 2025
12/30/2025
5
Disposition of 53 shares by Krauss Seth D of TKO Group at 207.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
6
Disposition of 224 shares by Shane Kapral of TKO Group at 201.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
7
Insider Sell Deputy CFO Shane Kapral Sells Shares of TKO Group Holdings Inc - GuruFocus
01/08/2026
8
Will Insider Sales and Loftier Sponsorship Targets Change TKO Group Holdings Narrative
01/14/2026
9
Wright Investors Service Inc. Raises Stock Holdings in TKO Group Holdings, Inc. TKO
01/16/2026
10
Disposition of 5833 shares by Andrew Schleimer of TKO Group subject to Rule 16b-3
01/20/2026
11
What You Need to Know Ahead of TKO Groups Earnings Release
01/21/2026
12
UFC and Skilled Trades College Renew Partnership to Support Trades Education
01/22/2026
13
Strs Ohio Lowers Stake in TKO Group Holdings, Inc. TKO
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow235.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-59 M

TKO Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,701  in TKO Group Holdings on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,557  from holding TKO Group Holdings or generate 8.33% return on investment over 90 days. TKO Group Holdings is generating 0.1479% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.8393% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than TKO, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon TKO Group is expected to generate 2.46 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.46 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

TKO Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TKO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 202.58 90 days 202.58 
about 31.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TKO Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.88 (This TKO Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of TKO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon TKO Group Holdings has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TKO Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TKO Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TKO Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.0849, implying that it can generate a 0.0849 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TKO Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TKO Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TKO Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
200.07201.91203.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
195.64197.48222.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
203.96205.80207.64
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
206.86227.32252.32
Details

TKO Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TKO Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TKO Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TKO Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TKO Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
11.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

TKO Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TKO Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TKO Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of December 2025 TKO Group paid 0.78 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Strs Ohio Lowers Stake in TKO Group Holdings, Inc. TKO

TKO Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TKO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TKO Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TKO Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments525.6 M

TKO Group Fundamentals Growth

TKO Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TKO Group, and TKO Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TKO Stock performance.

About TKO Group Performance

By examining TKO Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into TKO Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that TKO Group is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 5.95  5.53 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 

Things to note about TKO Group Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TKO Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TKO Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of December 2025 TKO Group paid 0.78 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Strs Ohio Lowers Stake in TKO Group Holdings, Inc. TKO
Evaluating TKO Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TKO Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TKO Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TKO Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TKO Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TKO Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TKO Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TKO Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TKO Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TKO Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TKO Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether TKO Group Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TKO Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tko Group Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tko Group Holdings Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TKO Group Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Will Movies & Entertainment sector continue expanding? Could TKO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TKO Group. If investors know TKO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every TKO Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.65
Dividend Share
1.52
Earnings Share
2.61
Revenue Per Share
31.223
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.27)
Investors evaluate TKO Group Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating TKO Group's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause TKO Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TKO Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TKO Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, TKO Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.